May 27, 2017

Not In My Backyard

Not In My Backyard

If you’ve been a reader of mine for a while you’re probably familiar with the fact that I don’t recommend people prepare with the TEOTWAWKI events in mind. Instead, I believe the best option it a general approach to preparedness, taking into consideration the events that are most likely to happen in your area.

However, with the exception of weather events, we should not rule out scenarios taking place in our area, simply because of where we live. For example, one would think that if Mexican drug cartel violence was to take place in America, it would happen in a border town. However, this happened in St. Paul Minnesota; from the

“Three enforcers hired by Mexico’s biggest drug cartel flew from Los Angeles to Minnesota last month, kidnapped two local teenagers, and then tortured them for hours at a house in St. Paul in an effort to recover stolen drugs, according to court documents reviewed by the Star Tribune.”

Acting under orders from the Sinaloa cartel, the three kidnappers were trying to determine who had stolen 30 pounds of methamphetamine and $200,000 from a stash house on Palace Avenue in St. Paul. Before the episode was over, they had issued death threats against the Minnesota pair and their families, demanding that they find the missing drugs or come up with $300,000 to compensate the cartel.”

I’m not sure if I would call this complacency, willful ignorance or just someone having a blind spot. The type of scenarios I am thinking about are mostly security related in nature. I think this happens the most often to people who live in a rural, suburban or urban environment, thinking the problems of the other environments aren’t a concern for them.

The couple who homesteads on their acreage might be under the assumption that in “SHTF” they won’t have to worry about people coming in from the suburbs or the nearest large urban area. If we see an EMP event and it disables vehicular travel, you could be partially right. It would be hard to cover long distances on foot, but not impossible. If we see any other type of event, I actually think you might be more prone to see crime brought in from other population centers.

I was told by my cities police captain that 90% of our crime is drug related and comes from Minneapolis, which is a thirty or so minute drive and is the nearest large population center. Addicts come into town, burglarize homes and cars and sell/trade what they get for drugs in other cities. I also remember reading about the economic collapse in Argentina; that there were very rural homesteads that were specifically targeted because they were so remote and because there was food there. The point? Crime migrates!

I believe there is a chance we could see one of the large scale events like an EMP or a pandemic, but I don’t think it is as likely as an economic shift causing unemployment to go up to 15% or higher and aid programs to be scaled back.

People using welfare, unemployment, food stamps and other aid programs live in rural, suburban and urban locations. But if these programs are cut back and families have to get by on 20% less, for a certain segment of that population, crime is a viable option to make ends meet.

Since the population is higher in urban environments, logic dictates that there are going to be more people in a high population center affected vying for the limited resources in that area. Whether those resources are jobs, other private aid programs such as food shelves, or people to prey upon. Spreading out to other locals is a very distinct possibility.
What Can We Do?

Um, the number one thing we can do is not steal 30lbs of drugs from a Mexican drug cartel! Duh!

If you live in a suburban or rural area, don’t think that you don’t have to worry about crime from higher population areas in your backyard. If you live in an urban area, you probably don’t have to worry about the smell or peace and quiet from a rural area invading you (LOL). But the poor decisions of your neighbors could import crime from another urban area.

When it comes to security related topics of any kind, if we believe certain types of events are no risk to us, at best we become complacent and worst we put ourselves in danger. I think a good goal for our security in any situation is to not live in fear, but to be aware that there are real dangers. We are not immune because of our size, gender, what we carry for self-defense or where we live.

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  1. pantsupdontloot says:

    Good article, and you are correct, “We should not live in fear”. Absence of fear comes from having the necessary skills and weapons to defend ourselves in any given situation [almost any situation]. Absence of fear is also the acceptance that somewhere out there in the dark death will find us. Once that is accepted life becomes a lot more simple. Put it off as long as possible, yes, but it is still coming our way. No exceptions. You also hit on a sore spot of mine with the quote, “90 per cent of crime is drug driven in your area”. This is probably true in any area in America. Drugs are rampant, an infestation if you will, of less than human life that have willing allowed themselves to become addicted to whatever their drug[s] is/are. What I am about to say is not another tough guy speech that is so often top billing on prepper websites. But the bottom line is that the taxpaying law abiding citizens know who the drug users/dealers are in their communities and it would behoove these less than humans to hide as best they can once the lights go out. Frankly, everyone and everything will be an enemy once shft. If someone has an issue with that statement then give me an example of an exception to that rule. Personally I can’t think of one. Great article. Thanks and God bless.

    • I’m not so sure I agree. I don’t think everyone will be an enemy once SHTF, I think they will be a threat until proven otherwise.

      I also don’t agree with the depiction of being less than human. To say they are less than human is to say they are unredeemable and not worth saving. I have never been an addict, but I have sinned and hurt people worse than if I had just stolen from them and God saw fit to save me.

  2. good thoughts Chris…I have been following you for just over a year now and you always seem to “tell it like you see it”.thanks for putting it the proper pospective….living just 34 miles from the south suburbs of Chicago in NW Indiana,when SHIT, NW Ind will most likely be swamped by those fleeing there looking for food,water,drugs,fuel,etc… plan is to move to the South soon…to a smaller popluation

  3. Home defense is high on my list of “worries”. Our small town of just under 15,000 has a serious drug problem, and getting worse all the time. Plus, I live just under two hours from Cleveland and Columbus, Ohio. The criminals are getting more brazen all the time, and if things go south, it could get real bad pretty fast. I am not afraid, but very watchful of my surroundings on a regular basis. I don’t have a lot of things, and they aren’t fancy, BUT! I wish to keep what I have. And moving is out of the question.

  4. I would say, after reading other prepping blogs, make your house look uninviting, make sure people do not see you bringing in lots of prep items, and make your defences as invisible as possible.

    Blog from a bloke who lived through the Bosnian war said, all the houses with high walls, heavy security screens were always the first to be broken into, as it looked like they had something worth taking in them.

    My wife and I intend to build a shed house, looks boring, looks cheap, but if the cosmic kaka hits the fan, you’re not going to have resale value, and if you outlive it, you don’t need to worry about the resale value.

    The moral of this post is simple, make yourself low visible, unattractive, unwanted, unwarranted of attention, and there is a better than zero chance you will be passed over for consideration for looters and the like.

  5. How about getting a really big backyard?

    I’d like to see some statistics on crime rates vs. acreage owned. I could see some criminals being emboldened by a lack of neighbors, but you would avoid the bad decisions by your neighbors as you point out here.

    • Chris Ray says:

      My point though is that acreage or where we live doesn’t always make us immune to problems people in other locals see.

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